Like clockwork, and requiring no effort on your part, the dividend stocks and funds you hold deposit recurring dividend payments into your brokerage account throughout the year.
These cash payments can then be moved to your bank account and spent on housing, food, healthcare, travel, and other living expenses. All without needing to sell a single share of stock.
Dividend investing offers a simple solution to the problem of separating your income from your time, a key requirement to retire. But can you really live off dividends?
We are admittedly unabashed disciples of dividend investing, having provided online portfolio-tracking tools and Dividend Safety Scores™ since Simply Safe Dividends began in 2015.
But our faith has only increased as we have seen firsthand how thousands of investors have used this income strategy to attain financial freedom.
Let's take a closer look at what it takes to retire on dividends.
How to Live off Dividends
The article assumed you retire with $1 million and desire $40,000 in annual inflation-adjusted retirement income. It also assumed that long-term inflation runs at 2%, Treasury yields match the inflation rate, and stock dividends grow 3.5% per year.
It goes on to state that you invest $400,000 into Treasury bonds and $600,000 into stocks that yield 3%, good for $18,000 in dividend income each year.
After spending every dollar of dividends, you sell part of your bond portfolio to hit your $40,000 inflation-adjusted annual income target. After about 21 years, your bond portfolio would be fully depleted.
However, over that time period, your annual dividend income might have grown by a third to reach $24,000 per year, even after accounting for inflation. Most importantly, you would still own all your stocks.
If your dividend income grew by about 33% after adjusting for inflation, then it is reasonable to believe that your stocks could have appreciated by a similar amount as their growing cash flow made them worth more over time, perhaps reaching close to $800,000 in value.
Assuming you retired no sooner than the age of 60, you would now be in your 80s and have a healthy amount of funds left for the rest of your retirement.
While your initial mix of stocks and bonds will vary based on many personal factors, building a portfolio of quality dividend stocks that collectively yield 3% or higher and grow their dividends by at least 3.5% per year is very attainable.
However, the amount of dividend stocks you need to make ends meet depends on several factors.
How Much Money You Need to Retire on Dividends
Multiplying by these numbers reflects a portfolio dividend yield (i.e. annual dividend income divided by the portfolio's market value) between 3.5% and 4.5%.
We believe you can build a conservative dividend portfolio within that dividend yield range without sacrificing on business quality, income safety, or sector diversification. We would expect this portfolio to deliver mid-single-digit annual dividend growth over time, too.
Using a practical example, a study by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics found that total annual expenditures in 2014 averaged $49,279 among older households. After adjusting for inflation, this works out to about $63,500 in 2023.
If dividends were this household's only income source, they would need a portfolio between approximately $1.4 million ($62,000 x 22) and $1.8 million ($62,000 x 28), assuming a starting dividend yield between 3.5% and 4.5%.
However, odds are that this couple has other income sources, which reduce the amount of dividends needed in retirement.
For example, the Social Security Administration estimates that two thirds of retirees will get the majority of their income from Social Security payments. As of 2023, retired workers and their spouses enjoyed an average monthly benefit of about $2,700 (approximately $33,000 annually).
While some of this Social Security income would likely be taxed, these benefits alone could potentially cut in half the size of the portfolio required to help this household live off dividends.
Pension income, annuities, and other income sources can further reduce the amount of supplementary dividends needed in retirement.
Getting Started with a Dividend Retirement Portfolio
Dividend-paying mutual funds and ETFs offer low fees, immediate diversification, and simplicity. Funds are, for the most part, set-it-and-forget-it investments.
However, fund investors lose a valuable benefit: control.
Most funds own dozens, hundreds, or even thousands of stocks. Vanguard's High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) owns over 400 companies, for example.
Some of these are good businesses with safe dividends, while others are lower in quality and will put their dividends on the chopping block during the next downturn. Some have high yields, and others hardly generate income at all.
Simply put, a fund is a hodgepodge of companies which may or not match your own income needs and risk tolerance very well, especially when the tide goes out.
Vanguard's High Dividend Yield ETF got into trouble during the 2007-09 financial crisis because it was not focused on dividend safety. The ETF's dividend income dropped by 25% during this period and took four years to recover to a new high.
Most funds also pay variable dividends which fluctuate unpredictably each period, making it hard to forecast how much income you'll make any given month.
While these are not necessarily reasons to avoid funds, handpicking your own dividend stocks can make it easier to tweak the amount of risk in your portfolio and give you better visibility into your income stream.
Most companies pay fixed dividend amounts on a quarterly or monthly basis. You'll know exactly how much you're getting paid by each stock and when.
When building a portfolio, here are the general guidelines we like to follow:
- Hold between 20 and 60 stocks to reduce company-specific risk
- Roughly equal-weight each position because it's hard to know which companies will be the best long-term performers
- Invest no more than 25% of your portfolio in any one sector
- Target companies with Safe or Very Safe Dividend Safety Scores™
For example, perhaps you are comfortable with a little more risk and willing to own more stocks with Borderline Safe Dividend Safety Scores™.
Or maybe you desire a portfolio with an overall yield near 4%, in which case you can check out our 25 favorite high dividend stocks for ideas.
That said, there are several risks to be aware of when it comes to living on dividend income in retirement.
Common Pitfalls to Avoid
Lacking proper diversification, a portfolio betting big on these areas of the market can be more sensitive to rising interest rates, get hit harder by any industry-specific adverse developments, and generate total returns that drift far from the broader market.
And outside of industries like REITs and MLPs that are designed for higher dividends, high yields can signal that something is structurally wrong with a business or that the dividend needs to be cut to help the company survive. These situations can result in a permanent loss of capital.
Besides chasing yield, dividend investors can also fall into the trap of hindsight bias.
The desire to own consistent dividend growers has caused groups of stocks like the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats to become popular with investors. Dividend aristocrats are S&P 500 companies that have increased their dividend for at least 25 consecutive years.
These stocks get the attention of dividend investors because they have outperformed the market. We like to assume that they will always keep paying and growing their dividends, which is not guaranteed.
Of the 60 dividend aristocrats that existed in 2007, 16 of the them cut or suspended their dividends during the financial crisis. While bank stocks accounted for the majority of those cuts, it's never easy to predict which sector will experience the next shock.
The pandemic was the latest reminder that dividend income is not risk-free. With the U.S. economy experiencing its sharpest contraction in history, 25% of companies covered by our Dividend Safety Scores™ (333 out of 1,313) cut their dividends in 2020.
This doesn't invalidate a dividend investing strategy but rather highlights the importance of owning companies with strong balance sheets and time-tested operations. These are the businesses that are more likely to sustain their payouts in good times and bad.
The bottom line is that dividends have risk. Investors pursuing this strategy in retirement should monitor the dividend safety of their portfolios, make adjustments as necessary, and diversify their holdings.
A final trap dividend investors can fall into is focusing on income return at the expense of total return (income and price return).
Just because a stable company pays a dividend doesn’t mean it is a superior investment or resistant to price drops in the broader stock market. In theory, whether your retirement cash flow comes from dividend income, bonds, or sales of your portfolio’s holdings shouldn’t matter.
But from a behavioral perspective, leaving principal untouched and living off the dividends it generates each month can help investors tune out the noise from fluctuating stock prices.
And if the stock market experiences a major correction in the early years of retirement, dividend investors have less exposure to sequence of returns risk as they do not need to sell more shares in response to lower stock prices.
Closing Thoughts on Dividends in Retirement
With every decision, be sure to review the fees, flexibility, and fine print of the investment strategies you are considering. Remember that you are looking to meet a consistent cash flow objective and are not necessarily wedded to achieving your goal through any one source such as bond interest, annuity payments, asset sales, or dividend income.
We built Simply Safe Dividends to help investors generate safe income from dividend-paying stocks. If you are interested in this strategy, you might like to try our online product, which lets you track your portfolio's income, dividend safety, and more so you can rest easy during your retirement.
You can learn more about our suite of portfolio tools and research for dividend investors by clicking here.